Do MAPI members enjoy a natural cyclical hedge in transatlantic markets?


Krzysztof Bledowski, Ph.D., senior economist
A trade agreement between the United States and the EU would likely lead to heightened trade and investment intensity. Could the resulting trade environment offer a natural hedge to cyclical variation for American (and European) multinationals? Upon examination of countercyclical business conditions, it appears the fairly integrated transatlantic marketplace would offer few opportunities to hedge naturally; the paper and beverage sectors seem to be the best candidates. Issues in Brief

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